Norwegian health authority reported that 33 people had died after receiving the first dose of Pfizer-BioNTech Covid-19 vaccine [1]. The news has generated concern and even fear among the general community. However, my evaluation suggests that the fear is not founded.

It is hard to make sense out of the 33 deaths without knowing the number of vaccinated people. According to The Age, Norway has vaccinated approximately 42,000 elderly people, mostly in nursing homes. Thus, the one-week risk of mortality is 0.078%.

Is the 0.078% risk too high? No. In a study published in PLoS ONE, the investigators followed 690 Norwegian nursing home residents for 3 years, and they found that the risk of mortality during the first 6 months was 17% [2]. This translates into a risk of 0.65% …










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random.thoughts

osteoporosis | epidemiology | genetics | biostatistics | data enthusiast

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